Today’s prompt over at The Daily Post asks whether I believe that global warming is real and the reason for my answer. First, let’s tighten up the question a bit. Do I believe that global warming is occuring and that human activity is responsible.
It’s funny. I initially typed “climate change” instead of “global warming”. If you want to read my thoughts on the distinction, you can look back here to a very early “Great” Thoughts post.
I absolutely believe that anthrogenic global warming (AGW) is occuring and that it poses a threat to human civilization as we know it.
Why do I believe this? First, the scientific community has said so. Climate scientists have established that the Earth is getting warmer and human activity is responsible. The notion that solar flair activity is responsible has been explored and discarded. There have been swings in global temperature throughout history, but nothing like we are seeing now. The trend is clearly tied to industrialization.
Is the science completely settled? Of course not. We don’t have all the answers. That is the nature of science. If the sober assessment of the scientific community is not convincing, please consider the rationale of the deniers. “It was cold this winter.” “You’ll crash the economy!” “It’s a plot to destroy capitalism!” I have literally heard all these claims.
What about the part of it being a threat to human civilization? Isn’t that extreme language? No. I’m not saying it will destroy the planet. If the sun goes nova or someone shows up with a Death Star super laser, then that might destroy the planet, but not climate change. What will happen is economic collapse, mass migration, and wars over resources and water.
The bottom line is simple. We need to take climate change seriousl, and we need to work on mitigating it before it’s too late.